Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Borgstrom wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Borgstrom 42.0% vs Eller 50.5% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Borgstrom 73.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 50.4%
Neutral zone
Borgstrom 60.5%
Result
Henrik Borgstrom favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Borgstrom
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Borgstrom
Eller
Last 8: Borgstrom 3-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Borgstrom
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Borgstrom
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Borgstrom
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Borgstrom
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (640)
51.1% (10,296)
-10.0%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
52.8% (621)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
46.7% (1,751)
-13.4%
On power play, Eller has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Borgstrom is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (440).
Borgstrom shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Borgstrom
Eller
Home
42.4% (309)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
39.6% (364)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Borgstrom
Eller
P1
44.9%
51.2%
P2
36.0%
50.1%
P3
42.6%
50.2%
OT
0.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
44.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Borgstrom
46.0%▲
40.0%
40.9%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 05:18 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 17:13 | Defensive | Henrik Borgstrom |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Henrik Borgstrom |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Henrik Borgstrom |