Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Borgstrom wins 40.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Borgstrom 43.4% vs Eller 49.5% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Borgstrom 77.5%
Defensive zone
Borgstrom 64.4%
Neutral zone
Borgstrom 66.6%
Result
Henrik Borgstrom favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Borgstrom
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Borgstrom
Eller
Last 5: Borgstrom 1-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Borgstrom
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Borgstrom
1
0
Borgstrom
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Borgstrom
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Borgstrom
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (193)
51.1% (786)
-10.2%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
45.0% (80)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.6% (165)
-43.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Borgstrom is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Borgstrom shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Home / Away
Borgstrom
Eller
Home
37.6% (93)
51.2% (510)
Away
42.3% (111)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Borgstrom
Eller
P1
41.0%
50.7%
P2
40.3%
49.0%
P3
39.4%
48.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Borgstrom
46.0%▲
40.0%
40.2%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 05:18 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 17:13 | Defensive | Henrik Borgstrom |