Henrik Borgstrom vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Borgstrom wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Borgstrom 42.0% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Borgstrom 59.2%
Defensive zone
Borgstrom 58.4%
Neutral zone
Borgstrom 62.1%
Result
Henrik Borgstrom favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Borgstrom
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Borgstrom
MacKinnon
Last 6: Borgstrom 2-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Borgstrom
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Borgstrom
2
0
Borgstrom
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Borgstrom
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Borgstrom
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (640)
46.1% (11,218)
-5.0%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
53.3% (1,412)
-16.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
42.8% (502)
-9.5%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Borgstrom is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Borgstrom shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Borgstrom
MacKinnon
Home
42.4% (309)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
39.6% (364)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Borgstrom
MacKinnon
P1
44.9%
47.4%
P2
36.0%
46.6%
P3
42.6%
46.1%
OT
0.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
44.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Borgstrom
46.0%▲
40.0%
40.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Henrik Borgstrom |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Henrik Borgstrom |