Henrik Borgstrom vs Nathan MacKinnon
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Borgstrom wins 39.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Borgstrom 43.4% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 60.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 62.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 55.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Borgstrom
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Borgstrom
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Borgstrom
1
0
Borgstrom
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Borgstrom
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (193)
45.8% (755)
-4.9%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
48.3% (60)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
27.6% (29)
-27.6%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Borgstrom is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Borgstrom shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Borgstrom
MacKinnon
Home
37.6% (93)
49.5% (396)
Away
42.3% (111)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Borgstrom
MacKinnon
P1
41.0%
50.2%
P2
40.3%
43.8%
P3
39.4%
41.4%
Final 5 min
46.7%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Borgstrom
46.0%▲
40.0%
40.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Henrik Borgstrom |