Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Borgstrom wins 39.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Borgstrom 43.4% vs Gagner 47.5% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Borgstrom 80.0%
Defensive zone
Borgstrom 62.4%
Neutral zone
Borgstrom 67.4%
Result
Henrik Borgstrom favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Borgstrom
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Borgstrom
Gagner
Last 7: Borgstrom 1-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
3
Borgstrom
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Borgstrom
1
0
Borgstrom
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
3
Borgstrom
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Borgstrom
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (193)
51.3% (158)
-10.4%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
66.7% (36)
-36.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
33.6% (110)
-33.6%
On power play, Gagner has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Borgstrom is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Borgstrom shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Borgstrom
Gagner
Home
37.6% (93)
53.2% (154)
Away
42.3% (111)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Borgstrom
Gagner
P1
41.0%
35.6%
P2
40.3%
52.7%
P3
39.4%
51.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Borgstrom
46.0%▲
40.0%
40.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Henrik Borgstrom |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 12:05 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 01:53 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |