Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Borgstrom wins 40.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Borgstrom 43.4% vs Monahan 52.8% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Borgstrom 64.4%
Defensive zone
Borgstrom 70.4%
Neutral zone
Borgstrom 67.1%
Result
Henrik Borgstrom favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Borgstrom
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Borgstrom
Monahan
Last 7: Borgstrom 2-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Borgstrom
1
0
Borgstrom
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Borgstrom
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Borgstrom
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Borgstrom
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (193)
51.5% (641)
-10.6%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
62.8% (129)
-32.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
33.3% (9)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Borgstrom is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Borgstrom shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Borgstrom
Monahan
Home
37.6% (93)
53.9% (362)
Away
42.3% (111)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Borgstrom
Monahan
P1
41.0%
48.0%
P2
40.3%
57.0%
P3
39.4%
54.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Borgstrom
46.0%▲
40.0%
40.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Henrik Borgstrom |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 05:05 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Henrik Borgstrom |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 19:44 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |