Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKown 52.4% vs Carter 58.5% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKown 74.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 65.5%
Neutral zone
McKown 58.3%
Result
Hunter McKown favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
McKown
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
McKown
Carter
Last 9: McKown 4-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
3
McKown
Carter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McKown
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKown
2
1
McKown
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKown
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (76)
59.7% (727)
-4.4%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
68.1% (72)
-13.6%
On power play, Carter has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. McKown is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (37).
McKown shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
McKown
Carter
Home
54.0% (50)
58.7% (455)
Away
56.8% (37)
60.0% (483)
By Period
McKown
Carter
P1
60.7%
61.3%
P2
59.3%
57.1%
P3
46.9%
59.8%
Final 5 min
60.9%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKown
46.0%▼
55.2%
55.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Hunter McKown |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 03:53 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Hunter McKown |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 19:17 | Neutral | Hunter McKown |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Hunter McKown |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |