Scouting Report
Hunter McKown holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. McKown wins 60.0% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKown 52.4% vs Poehling 46.2% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKown 70.6%
Defensive zone
Poehling 80.4%
Neutral zone
Poehling 55.5%
Result
Hunter McKown favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
McKown
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McKown
Poehling
Last 6: McKown 3-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McKown
Poehling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
McKown
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKown
1
0
McKown
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKown
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (76)
46.5% (269)
+8.8%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
66.7% (3)
-12.2%
On power play, Poehling has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. McKown is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (50).
McKown shoots right. Poehling is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
McKown
Poehling
Home
54.0% (50)
45.2% (177)
Away
56.8% (37)
45.3% (234)
By Period
McKown
Poehling
P1
60.7%
47.7%
P2
59.3%
44.4%
P3
46.9%
44.6%
Final 5 min
60.9%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKown
46.0%▼
55.2%
55.2%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 01:31 | Offensive | Hunter McKown |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 12:11 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Hunter McKown |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 08:55 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | Hunter McKown |