Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pakarinen on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pakarinen 48.7% vs Stajan 47.6% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pakarinen 61.9%
Defensive zone
Stajan 83.3%
Neutral zone
Stajan 54.3%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Pakarinen
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Pakarinen
Stajan
Last 6: Pakarinen 3-3 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
1
Pakarinen
Stajan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pakarinen
3
2
Pakarinen
Stajan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pakarinen
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (13)
47.8% (678)
-9.3%
On even strength, Stajan has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Pakarinen is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Pakarinen shoots right. Stajan is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Pakarinen
Stajan
Home
36.4% (11)
49.0% (392)
Away
50.0% (2)
45.7% (396)
By Period
Pakarinen
Stajan
P1
44.4%
47.9%
P2
25.0%
49.8%
Final 5 min
66.7%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pakarinen
33.3%▬
33.3%
38.5%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 16:54 | Neutral | Iiro Pakarinen |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Iiro Pakarinen |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 11:34 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Iiro Pakarinen |