Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pakarinen on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pakarinen 47.1% vs Stajan 49.4% (-16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pakarinen 64.5%
Defensive zone
Stajan 77.0%
Neutral zone
Stajan 55.1%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Pakarinen
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Pakarinen
Stajan
Last 6: Pakarinen 3-3 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
1
Pakarinen
Stajan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pakarinen
3
2
Pakarinen
Stajan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pakarinen
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
29.4% (17)
50.2% (4,944)
-20.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
43.2% (176)
+56.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
46.1% (864)
-12.8%
On power play, Pakarinen has a +56.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Pakarinen is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (15).
Pakarinen shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Home / Away
Pakarinen
Stajan
Home
33.3% (15)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
33.3% (6)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Pakarinen
Stajan
P1
41.7%
50.3%
P2
14.3%
48.5%
P3
50.0%
49.4%
Final 5 min
60.0%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pakarinen
33.3%▬
33.3%
33.3%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 16:54 | Neutral | Iiro Pakarinen |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Iiro Pakarinen |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 11:34 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Iiro Pakarinen |