Isac Lundeström vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundeström on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lundeström wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 45.3% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 89.4%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 53.9%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 63.6%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Lundeström
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lundeström
Kotkaniemi
Last 6: Lundeström 4-2 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Lundeström
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
3
1
Lundeström
Kotkaniemi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (278)
51.7% (586)
-3.9%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
48.1% (52)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (92)
62.5% (8)
-27.7%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Lundeström is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Lundeström shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Kotkaniemi
Home
46.3% (190)
49.5% (313)
Away
41.8% (196)
53.5% (333)
By Period
Lundeström
Kotkaniemi
P1
40.2%
54.5%
P2
44.3%
51.1%
P3
47.4%
49.0%
Final 5 min
37.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.0%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 09:54 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |