Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 45.0% vs Larsson 46.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 51.7%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 52.7%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 51.3%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Lundeström
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lundeström
Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Larsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
1
Lundeström
Larsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (785)
46.7% (345)
-1.5%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
61.1% (18)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (85)
39.0% (59)
-2.5%
On power play, Larsson has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Lundeström is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Lundeström shoots left. Larsson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Larsson
Home
45.8% (428)
52.1% (167)
Away
43.2% (451)
42.4% (255)
By Period
Lundeström
Larsson
P1
48.6%
50.0%
P2
46.5%
46.7%
P3
37.8%
42.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.5%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |