Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 52.2% vs Staal 54.6% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 58.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 52.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Lundeström
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lundeström
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (209)
56.1% (955)
-2.5%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
66.9% (142)
-16.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
43.0% (242)
+7.0%
On power play, Staal has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lundeström is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (147).
Lundeström shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Staal
Home
50.0% (136)
55.4% (663)
Away
57.3% (103)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Lundeström
Staal
P1
53.2%
55.1%
P2
54.8%
54.7%
P3
51.9%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
53.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 06:00 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |