Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.5% vs 47.8%). Look for Lundeström on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 47.9% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundeström 51.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 55.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 51.4%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Lundeström
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Lundeström
Bjugstad
Last 9: Lundeström 5-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
5
3
Lundeström
Bjugstad
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Lundeström
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (554)
49.4% (867)
-1.9%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
56.0% (25)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (41)
40.7% (216)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Lundeström has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Lundeström is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Lundeström shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Bjugstad
Home
47.4% (266)
46.5% (480)
Away
47.6% (336)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Lundeström
Bjugstad
P1
54.5%
48.7%
P2
44.4%
45.6%
P3
44.6%
49.1%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:21 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 01:38 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |