Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundeström wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 45.3% vs Foligno 52.0% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 55.7%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 87.5%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 70.5%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Lundeström
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lundeström
Foligno
Last 6: Lundeström 1-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
3
Lundeström
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Lundeström
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (278)
53.4% (249)
-5.6%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
53.2% (154)
-21.9%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (92)
40.6% (32)
-5.8%
On power play, Foligno has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Lundeström is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Lundeström shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Foligno
Home
46.3% (190)
57.3% (225)
Away
41.8% (196)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Lundeström
Foligno
P1
40.2%
53.0%
P2
44.3%
51.8%
P3
47.4%
52.6%
Final 5 min
37.0%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.0%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 19:12 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |