Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundeström on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 47.5% vs Schmaltz 49.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 92.5%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 85.6%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 52.0%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Lundeström
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lundeström
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Lundeström
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
3
0
Lundeström
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (626)
48.1% (268)
+2.2%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
50.5% (91)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (300)
58.8% (17)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Lundeström is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Lundeström shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Schmaltz
Home
48.4% (504)
49.0% (206)
Away
45.8% (432)
49.4% (170)
By Period
Lundeström
Schmaltz
P1
50.2%
53.6%
P2
43.5%
46.2%
P3
47.8%
50.4%
OT
71.4%
16.7%
Final 5 min
43.4%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.2%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 16:30 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 10:28 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |