Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 53.5%). Lundeström wins 61.9% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 52.1% vs Roy 53.0% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 54.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 64.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 54.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Lundeström
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lundeström
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
2
0
Lundeström
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Lundeström
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (184)
53.9% (449)
+0.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
53.3% (30)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
51.3% (78)
-6.3%
On power play, Roy has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Lundeström is 61.9% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Lundeström shoots left. Roy is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Roy
Home
51.3% (115)
54.9% (293)
Away
55.4% (92)
51.9% (264)
By Period
Lundeström
Roy
P1
52.5%
55.0%
P2
54.1%
51.7%
P3
53.4%
53.7%
Final 5 min
49.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.1%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:00 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2 | 02:43 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |