Scouting Report
Isac Lundeström holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 52.1% vs Cates 45.2% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundeström 51.9%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 83.7%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 72.4%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Lundeström
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lundeström
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (184)
44.2% (566)
+10.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
44.0% (84)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
50.0% (38)
-5.0%
On power play, Cates has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Lundeström is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Lundeström shoots left. Cates is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Cates
Home
51.3% (115)
45.1% (350)
Away
55.4% (92)
43.8% (338)
By Period
Lundeström
Cates
P1
52.5%
46.8%
P2
54.1%
46.5%
P3
53.4%
40.8%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.1%
Cates
56.0%▲
46.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:28 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |