Scouting Report
Isac Lundeström holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundeström on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundeström wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 46.5% vs Cates 43.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundeström 68.3%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 86.7%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 75.7%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Lundeström
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Lundeström
Cates
Last 9: Lundeström 8-1 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
3
1
Lundeström
Cates
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
2
0
Lundeström
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
3
0
Lundeström
Cates
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (2,987)
44.1% (2,742)
+3.2%
Power Play
51.4% (74)
43.0% (242)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (582)
34.9% (373)
+6.3%
On power play, Lundeström has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Lundeström is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,460).
Lundeström shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,284).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Cates
Home
47.0% (1,826)
43.8% (1,663)
Away
45.8% (1,817)
42.1% (1,694)
By Period
Lundeström
Cates
P1
49.2%
44.5%
P2
45.6%
43.5%
P3
44.5%
41.2%
OT
45.5%
29.4%
Final 5 min
44.4%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.4%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:28 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 02:59 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |