Isac Lundeström vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 47.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 85.9%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 74.2%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 60.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Lundeström
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lundeström
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Lundeström 4-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Lundeström
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
2
0
Lundeström
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
2
0
Lundeström
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (626)
50.3% (479)
+0.0%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
50.0% (28)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (300)
30.0% (50)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Lundeström has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Lundeström is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Lundeström shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.4% (504)
48.9% (270)
Away
45.8% (432)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Lundeström
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.2%
48.7%
P2
43.5%
50.0%
P3
47.8%
47.3%
OT
71.4%
36.4%
Final 5 min
43.4%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:09 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |