Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 45.0% vs Gagner 47.5% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 54.7%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 50.9%
Neutral zone
Gagner 56.5%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Lundeström
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lundeström
Gagner
Last 5: Lundeström 3-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lundeström
Gagner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (785)
51.3% (158)
-6.1%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
66.7% (36)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (85)
33.6% (110)
+2.9%
On power play, Gagner has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Lundeström is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (310).
Lundeström shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Gagner
Home
45.8% (428)
53.2% (154)
Away
43.2% (451)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Lundeström
Gagner
P1
48.6%
35.6%
P2
46.5%
52.7%
P3
37.8%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2022 | 2 | 04:03 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 1 | 17:37 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 9, 2022 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 9, 2022 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 9, 2022 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |