Scouting Report
Isac Lundeström holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lundeström wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 46.5% vs Jost 40.5% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 77.1%
Defensive zone
Jost 58.2%
Neutral zone
Jost 68.1%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 71.2%
28.8%
71.2%
Lundeström
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lundeström
Jost
Last 8: Lundeström 3-5 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
2
3
Lundeström
Jost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundeström
Jost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Lundeström
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (2,987)
41.0% (2,014)
+6.3%
Power Play
51.4% (74)
34.2% (73)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (582)
35.3% (255)
+5.9%
On power play, Lundeström has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Lundeström is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,460).
Lundeström shoots left. Jost is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,466).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Jost
Home
47.0% (1,826)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
45.8% (1,817)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
Lundeström
Jost
P1
49.2%
38.5%
P2
45.6%
41.2%
P3
44.5%
40.9%
OT
45.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.4%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |