Scouting Report
Isac Lundeström holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 52.1% vs Gourde 45.6% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 71.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 61.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 61.8%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Lundeström
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lundeström
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Lundeström
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (184)
47.1% (463)
+7.2%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
36.4% (11)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
29.9% (67)
+15.1%
On penalty kill, Lundeström has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lundeström is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Lundeström shoots left. Gourde is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Gourde
Home
51.3% (115)
42.3% (215)
Away
55.4% (92)
46.3% (326)
By Period
Lundeström
Gourde
P1
52.5%
44.8%
P2
54.1%
49.1%
P3
53.4%
40.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.1%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 19:02 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |