Scouting Report
Isac Lundeström holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 52.2% vs Gourde 46.0% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 67.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 56.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 59.0%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Lundeström
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lundeström
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Lundeström
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (209)
47.2% (654)
+6.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
45.0% (20)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
32.2% (87)
+17.8%
On penalty kill, Lundeström has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lundeström is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (147).
Lundeström shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Gourde
Home
50.0% (136)
44.1% (322)
Away
57.3% (103)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Lundeström
Gourde
P1
53.2%
42.4%
P2
54.8%
49.8%
P3
51.9%
44.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
53.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 19:02 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |