Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs Spezza 52.4% (-13.0%)
Offensive zone
Spezza 66.9%
Defensive zone
Spezza 50.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 53.5%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Barbashev
Spezza
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (272)
53.7% (451)
-15.8%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
54.3% (92)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (27)
38.2% (34)
+2.5%
On even strength, Spezza has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Barbashev is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Barbashev shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Spezza
Home
45.3% (137)
55.0% (282)
Away
36.1% (191)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Barbashev
Spezza
P1
41.8%
53.1%
P2
43.1%
53.2%
P3
31.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
37.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
39.9%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%