Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Barbashev wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.2% vs Beagle 56.7% (-15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 86.9%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 68.2%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 67.9%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Barbashev
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Barbashev
Beagle
Last 8: Barbashev 3-5 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
3
Barbashev
Beagle
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
2
Barbashev
Beagle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (1,738)
57.5% (4,994)
-15.5%
Power Play
46.1% (89)
60.5% (119)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (139)
54.2% (1,554)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Barbashev is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (793).
Barbashev shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Beagle
Home
42.4% (932)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
41.3% (1,034)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
Barbashev
Beagle
P1
40.7%
57.4%
P2
42.3%
57.1%
P3
42.3%
56.2%
OT
60.0%
41.3%
Final 5 min
39.2%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 11:23 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |