Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs Beagle 55.9% (-17.2%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 68.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 75.6%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 50.6%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Barbashev
Beagle
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (272)
57.2% (353)
-19.3%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
87.5% (16)
-28.9%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (27)
51.6% (95)
-10.9%
On power play, Beagle has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Barbashev is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Barbashev shoots left. Beagle is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Beagle
Home
45.3% (137)
62.0% (200)
Away
36.1% (191)
53.4% (264)
By Period
Barbashev
Beagle
P1
41.8%
55.8%
P2
43.1%
60.1%
P3
31.9%
54.5%
OT
75.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
37.1%
63.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
39.9%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%