Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Barbashev wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.4% vs Beagle 55.5% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 85.6%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 54.3%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 69.9%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Barbashev
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Barbashev
Beagle
Last 8: Barbashev 3-5 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
3
Barbashev
Beagle
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
2
Barbashev
Beagle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (389)
57.7% (572)
-11.2%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
28.6% (7)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
52.5% (179)
-11.2%
On power play, Beagle has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Barbashev is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Barbashev shoots left. Beagle is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Beagle
Home
45.9% (233)
58.2% (378)
Away
45.2% (208)
54.2% (380)
By Period
Barbashev
Beagle
P1
46.5%
58.8%
P2
48.3%
51.9%
P3
42.1%
58.1%
Final 5 min
42.4%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
45.6%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 11:23 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |