Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs Thornton 54.3% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 55.1%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 57.2%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 53.3%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Barbashev
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barbashev
Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Barbashev
Thornton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (1,726)
53.5% (6,640)
-11.4%
Power Play
47.1% (87)
57.2% (1,387)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (139)
56.7% (427)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Barbashev is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,165).
Barbashev shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Thornton
Home
42.5% (926)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
41.4% (1,026)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Barbashev
Thornton
P1
40.9%
55.0%
P2
42.5%
53.3%
P3
42.3%
54.4%
OT
60.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
39.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
42.0%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |