Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +24.9% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 36.0% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 43.0% vs Toews 61.9% (-24.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 88.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 94.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 90.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 88.6%
11.4%
88.6%
Barbashev
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Barbashev
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
2
0
Barbashev
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (128)
61.1% (650)
-22.0%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
71.9% (192)
-35.5%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
59.6% (99)
-39.6%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Barbashev is 36.0% vs left-shot opponents (75).
Barbashev shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Toews
Home
40.0% (85)
64.8% (560)
Away
35.6% (59)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Barbashev
Toews
P1
35.8%
62.3%
P2
29.5%
63.9%
P3
48.9%
62.8%
Final 5 min
31.3%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
38.2%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |