Scouting Report
Ivan Barbashev holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Barbashev on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barbashev wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.2% vs Dach 37.3% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 70.2%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 75.5%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 67.5%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Barbashev
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Barbashev
Dach
Last 8: Barbashev 5-3 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev
Dach
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dach
1
2
Barbashev
Dach
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barbashev
3
1
Barbashev
Dach
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (1,738)
36.5% (1,423)
+5.5%
Power Play
46.1% (89)
35.7% (98)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (139)
36.0% (25)
+0.7%
On power play, Barbashev has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Barbashev is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (793).
Barbashev shoots left. Dach is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Dach
Home
42.4% (932)
37.0% (857)
Away
41.3% (1,034)
35.8% (689)
By Period
Barbashev
Dach
P1
40.7%
35.3%
P2
42.3%
34.5%
P3
42.3%
40.4%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.2%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 08:57 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 05:37 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 13:35 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 02:34 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |