Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 36.0% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 43.0% vs Draisaitl 54.6% (-16.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 81.2%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 72.2%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 77.2%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Barbashev
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Barbashev
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Barbashev
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (128)
52.4% (974)
-13.3%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
59.5% (373)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
61.0% (123)
-41.0%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +41.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Barbashev is 36.0% vs left-shot opponents (75).
Barbashev shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Draisaitl
Home
40.0% (85)
54.5% (778)
Away
35.6% (59)
55.3% (692)
By Period
Barbashev
Draisaitl
P1
35.8%
54.6%
P2
29.5%
56.1%
P3
48.9%
53.3%
Final 5 min
31.3%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
38.2%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 03:20 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 07:24 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |