Scouting Report
Luke Johnson holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barbashev wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.2% vs Johnson 49.5% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 72.3%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 73.7%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 73.6%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Barbashev
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Barbashev
Johnson
Last 6: Barbashev 1-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Barbashev
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Barbashev
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Barbashev
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (1,738)
51.0% (202)
-9.0%
Power Play
46.1% (89)
66.7% (3)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (139)
30.0% (20)
+6.7%
On power play, Johnson has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Barbashev is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (793).
Barbashev shoots left. Johnson is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Johnson
Home
42.4% (932)
53.7% (67)
Away
41.3% (1,034)
47.5% (158)
By Period
Barbashev
Johnson
P1
40.7%
53.8%
P2
42.3%
53.8%
P3
42.3%
39.1%
Final 5 min
39.2%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 02:22 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 06:59 | Neutral | Luke Johnson |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Luke Johnson |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |