Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 43.0% vs Scheifele 48.1% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 73.4%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 63.1%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 65.3%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 68.1%
31.9%
68.1%
Barbashev
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Barbashev
Scheifele
Last 5: Barbashev 3-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barbashev
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barbashev
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (128)
47.8% (960)
-8.7%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
47.0% (219)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
60.7% (28)
-40.7%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +40.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Barbashev is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Barbashev shoots left. Scheifele is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Scheifele
Home
40.0% (85)
50.7% (611)
Away
35.6% (59)
45.1% (596)
By Period
Barbashev
Scheifele
P1
35.8%
51.4%
P2
29.5%
47.3%
P3
48.9%
45.0%
Final 5 min
31.3%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
38.2%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2023 | 2 | 14:36 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 17:29 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |