Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barbashev wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.2% vs Koivu 54.0% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 80.9%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 84.8%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 84.5%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Barbashev
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Barbashev
Koivu
Last 6: Barbashev 1-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Barbashev
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Barbashev
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (1,738)
54.0% (9,465)
-12.0%
Power Play
46.1% (89)
58.6% (2,100)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (139)
48.9% (1,688)
-12.2%
On power play, Koivu has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Barbashev is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,173).
Barbashev shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Koivu
Home
42.4% (932)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
41.3% (1,034)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Barbashev
Koivu
P1
40.7%
53.5%
P2
42.3%
54.6%
P3
42.3%
54.0%
OT
60.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
39.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 15:22 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 11:08 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |