Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +25.4% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 22.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 40.7% vs Kadri 47.6% (-25.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 63.0%
Defensive zone
Kadri 51.9%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 52.2%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Barbashev
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barbashev
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Barbashev
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
18.6% (43)
47.4% (821)
-28.8%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
48.8% (86)
-5.9%
On even strength, Kadri has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Barbashev is 22.9% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Barbashev shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Kadri
Home
20.8% (24)
46.6% (487)
Away
23.1% (26)
48.3% (433)
By Period
Barbashev
Kadri
P1
33.3%
52.7%
P2
6.7%
50.2%
P3
21.4%
40.2%
Final 5 min
0.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
22.0%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 16:03 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |