Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Barbashev wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.2% vs Kadri 48.7% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Barbashev 77.1%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 69.7%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 72.8%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Barbashev
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Barbashev
Kadri
Last 10: Barbashev 5-5 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
5
Barbashev
Kadri
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
4
Barbashev
Kadri
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Barbashev
Kadri
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (1,738)
48.2% (12,510)
-6.2%
Power Play
46.1% (89)
53.0% (1,892)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (139)
41.0% (293)
-4.3%
On power play, Kadri has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Barbashev is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,173).
Barbashev shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Kadri
Home
42.4% (932)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
41.3% (1,034)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
Barbashev
Kadri
P1
40.7%
49.2%
P2
42.3%
48.8%
P3
42.3%
48.0%
OT
60.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
39.2%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 16:03 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:28 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 08:24 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 04:44 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 08:20 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 1 | 10:07 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |