Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Barbashev on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Barbashev wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.2% vs Bonino 50.0% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Barbashev leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 60.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 86.5%
Neutral zone
Bonino 76.4%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 76.3%
23.7%
76.3%
Barbashev
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
11
(25 meetings)
14
11
Barbashev
Bonino
Last 10: Barbashev 6-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Barbashev
Bonino
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
5
4
Barbashev
Bonino
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barbashev
6
4
Barbashev
Bonino
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (1,738)
50.6% (8,315)
-8.6%
Power Play
46.1% (89)
54.1% (972)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (139)
44.6% (1,693)
-7.9%
On even strength, Bonino has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Barbashev is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,173).
Barbashev shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Bonino
Home
42.4% (932)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
41.3% (1,034)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Barbashev
Bonino
P1
40.7%
50.6%
P2
42.3%
48.5%
P3
42.3%
51.1%
OT
60.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
39.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:03 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 01:47 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 08:36 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| May 13, 2021 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| May 12, 2021 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| May 12, 2021 | 1 | 08:57 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 14:57 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 16:52 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |