Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Barbashev wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.2% vs Suzuki 49.3% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Barbashev 63.4%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 69.2%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 63.2%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Barbashev
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Barbashev
Suzuki
Last 10: Barbashev 4-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
3
2
Barbashev
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
4
Barbashev
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (1,738)
49.4% (6,327)
-7.4%
Power Play
46.1% (89)
50.7% (1,338)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (139)
43.6% (456)
-6.9%
On even strength, Suzuki has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Barbashev is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (793).
Barbashev shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Suzuki
Home
42.4% (932)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
41.3% (1,034)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Barbashev
Suzuki
P1
40.7%
48.8%
P2
42.3%
49.1%
P3
42.3%
50.2%
OT
60.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
39.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 09:36 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 02:57 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 08:51 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:40 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |