Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Barbashev wins 41.0% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs Suzuki 49.2% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Barbashev 60.1%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 66.9%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 59.9%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Barbashev
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Barbashev
Suzuki
Last 10: Barbashev 4-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
3
2
Barbashev
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
4
Barbashev
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (1,726)
49.2% (6,124)
-7.1%
Power Play
47.1% (87)
50.7% (1,285)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (139)
43.4% (454)
-6.7%
On even strength, Suzuki has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Barbashev is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (787).
Barbashev shoots left. Suzuki is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,694).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Suzuki
Home
42.5% (926)
50.9% (3,880)
Away
41.4% (1,026)
47.5% (3,983)
By Period
Barbashev
Suzuki
P1
40.9%
48.5%
P2
42.5%
49.0%
P3
42.3%
50.3%
OT
60.0%
43.3%
Final 5 min
39.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
42.0%
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 09:36 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 02:57 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 08:51 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:40 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |