Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.0% vs 42.5%). Barbashev wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs Elias 42.7% (-0.5%)
Offensive zone
Elias 52.3%
Defensive zone
Elias 54.7%
Neutral zone
Elias 52.6%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Barbashev
Elias
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (1,726)
42.3% (2,591)
-0.2%
Power Play
47.1% (87)
48.4% (405)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (139)
36.0% (367)
+0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Barbashev is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,165).
Barbashev shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Elias
Home
42.5% (926)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
41.4% (1,026)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Barbashev
Elias
P1
40.9%
41.1%
P2
42.5%
43.1%
P3
42.3%
43.0%
OT
60.0%
43.2%
Final 5 min
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
42.0%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%