Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ivan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ivan wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ivan 44.4% vs Dubois 46.7% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 73.3%
Defensive zone
Ivan 71.0%
Neutral zone
Dubois 54.9%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Ivan
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Ivan
Dubois
Last 6: Ivan 3-3 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
2
Ivan
Dubois
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ivan
1
0
Ivan
Dubois
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ivan
2
1
Ivan
Dubois
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ivan
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (155)
46.2% (7,002)
-6.2%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
51.3% (606)
+15.4%
On power play, Ivan has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Ivan is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Ivan shoots left. Dubois is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,073).
Home / Away
Ivan
Dubois
Home
41.2% (68)
47.9% (3,872)
Away
40.9% (93)
45.4% (3,844)
By Period
Ivan
Dubois
P1
33.3%
47.6%
P2
42.4%
45.6%
P3
46.0%
46.8%
Final 5 min
45.9%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ivan
50.0%▲
41.0%
41.0%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Ivan Ivan |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 06:18 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Ivan Ivan |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:59 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | Ivan Ivan |