Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Connor on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Connor wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Connor 50.0% vs Compher 51.8% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 52.2%
Defensive zone
Compher 89.3%
Neutral zone
Compher 69.0%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
O'Connor
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
O'Connor
Compher
Last 5: O'Connor 4-1 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Connor
3
0
O'Connor
Compher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
O'Connor
Compher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Connor
1
0
O'Connor
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Connor
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (80)
53.9% (757)
-6.4%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
54.8% (31)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (12)
35.6% (90)
+31.1%
On penalty kill, O'Connor has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. O'Connor is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (39).
O'Connor shoots left. Compher is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
O'Connor
Compher
Home
60.9% (46)
52.4% (429)
Away
40.7% (54)
51.7% (449)
By Period
O'Connor
Compher
P1
40.0%
56.0%
P2
52.6%
50.0%
P3
56.3%
50.6%
Final 5 min
53.8%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Connor
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.0%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Drew O'Connor |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |