Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.8% vs 45.2%). Compher wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs McBain 45.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 52.2%
Defensive zone
Compher 53.3%
Neutral zone
McBain 52.1%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Compher
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Compher
McBain
Last 5: Compher 2-3 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
McBain
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
0
2
Compher
McBain
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
McBain
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
46.3% (568)
-0.8%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
37.5% (8)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
37.8% (74)
+3.9%
On power play, Compher has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Compher is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Compher shoots right. McBain is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Compher
McBain
Home
44.0% (484)
50.6% (330)
Away
45.4% (555)
39.7% (320)
By Period
Compher
McBain
P1
46.2%
45.4%
P2
44.8%
44.5%
P3
44.2%
45.7%
Final 5 min
37.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |