Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Schwartz on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Compher wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Schwartz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Schwartz 54.4% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 69.2%
Defensive zone
Compher 91.8%
Neutral zone
Compher 62.7%
Result
Jaden Schwartz favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Compher
Schwartz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Compher
Schwartz
Last 6: Compher 2-4 Schwartz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwartz
1
4
Compher
Schwartz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Schwartz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Schwartz
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
45.8% (59)
-0.3%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
64.4% (101)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
0.0% (1)
+41.7%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwartz shoots left. Compher is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Compher shoots right. Schwartz is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Home / Away
Compher
Schwartz
Home
44.0% (484)
61.0% (82)
Away
45.4% (555)
53.2% (79)
By Period
Compher
Schwartz
P1
46.2%
58.6%
P2
44.8%
46.8%
P3
44.2%
64.2%
OT
25.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
37.8%
64.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:09 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 05:10 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |