Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sourdif on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Sourdif 45.9% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sourdif 71.1%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 71.7%
Neutral zone
Sourdif 75.3%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Compher
Sourdif
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Compher
Sourdif
Last 7: Compher 2-5 Sourdif
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
0
1
Compher
Sourdif
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
2
3
Compher
Sourdif
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sourdif
0
1
Compher
Sourdif
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Sourdif
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
44.6% (556)
+9.3%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
50.0% (24)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
61.5% (13)
-25.9%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sourdif shoots right. Compher is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Compher shoots right. Sourdif is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Compher
Sourdif
Home
52.4% (429)
43.6% (321)
Away
51.7% (449)
47.1% (272)
By Period
Compher
Sourdif
P1
56.0%
43.1%
P2
50.0%
43.9%
P3
50.6%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Sourdif
32.0%▼
40.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 08:14 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:37 | Neutral | Justin Sourdif |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 04:39 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |