Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.9% vs Eller 53.3% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 64.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 57.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.2%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Compher
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Compher
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Compher
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,149)
53.8% (865)
-4.5%
Power Play
53.9% (204)
57.1% (21)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (312)
52.6% (137)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Compher shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Compher
Eller
Home
50.7% (872)
56.4% (486)
Away
46.8% (793)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Compher
Eller
P1
49.9%
55.1%
P2
47.9%
55.3%
P3
49.0%
51.7%
OT
46.9%
27.3%
Final 5 min
51.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 12:17 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 17:20 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Lars Eller |