Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Compher wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Poitras shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Poitras 45.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poitras 66.7%
Defensive zone
Compher 68.4%
Neutral zone
Poitras 51.2%
Result
Matthew Poitras favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Compher
Poitras
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Compher
Poitras
Last 5: Compher 2-3 Poitras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poitras
0
1
Compher
Poitras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Compher
Poitras
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Poitras
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
43.3% (245)
+2.2%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
50.0% (6)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
66.7% (3)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Poitras has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poitras shoots right. Compher is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Compher shoots right. Poitras is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Compher
Poitras
Home
44.0% (484)
44.6% (121)
Away
45.4% (555)
42.9% (133)
By Period
Compher
Poitras
P1
46.2%
41.5%
P2
44.8%
45.4%
P3
44.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
37.8%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Matthew Poitras |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 03:03 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |