Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Compher wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Beniers 47.6% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 58.8%
Defensive zone
Compher 68.8%
Neutral zone
Compher 55.8%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Compher
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Compher
Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
Compher
Beniers
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
2
Compher
Beniers
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
47.3% (945)
-1.8%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
51.7% (145)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
23.8% (21)
+17.9%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Compher is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Compher shoots right. Beniers is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Compher
Beniers
Home
44.0% (484)
49.6% (565)
Away
45.4% (555)
45.2% (546)
By Period
Compher
Beniers
P1
46.2%
48.0%
P2
44.8%
49.0%
P3
44.2%
46.5%
OT
25.0%
23.5%
Final 5 min
37.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 02:10 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |