Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Compher wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.8% vs Stastny 54.6% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 55.0%
Defensive zone
Compher 63.5%
Neutral zone
Compher 58.9%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Compher
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Compher
Stastny
Last 6: Compher 2-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Compher
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
1
Compher
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Compher
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (431)
54.8% (1,130)
-10.5%
Power Play
50.7% (73)
59.1% (235)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (101)
49.3% (150)
-4.7%
On even strength, Stastny has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Compher is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Compher shoots right. Stastny is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (568).
Home / Away
Compher
Stastny
Home
47.2% (282)
55.5% (803)
Away
43.3% (323)
54.2% (712)
By Period
Compher
Stastny
P1
47.6%
57.4%
P2
40.3%
52.5%
P3
47.4%
54.3%
OT
66.7%
69.6%
Final 5 min
45.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
60.0%▲
49.0%
45.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 00:07 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |