Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Stastny 55.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 66.8%
Defensive zone
Compher 69.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 60.1%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Compher
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Compher
Stastny
Last 6: Compher 3-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Compher
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
1
Compher
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (471)
59.2% (370)
-7.0%
Power Play
65.6% (61)
40.9% (44)
+24.7%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (125)
51.7% (58)
-10.1%
On power play, Compher has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Compher is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Compher shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Compher
Stastny
Home
54.4% (362)
57.7% (215)
Away
47.8% (295)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Compher
Stastny
P1
49.6%
57.7%
P2
53.6%
54.2%
P3
51.4%
57.7%
OT
57.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:05 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |